As usual, I’m college basketball obsessed to the max, possibly even more this year because the NBA killed my childhood, the Hawks are lame and the Cougs are looking far better than expected. So here it goes, my Pac-10 predictions for 2009-10.
Washington – The Husky big men only have to be decent for the Huskies to take the conference. The backcourt is scary. Despite often being overshadowed last year by Jon Brockman, Isiah Thomas and Justin Dentmon last year, the long-underachieving senior was the team’s best scorer in the second half. He also somehow pulls down nearly 10 rebounds a game despite being only 6-6. Isiah Thomas might not have much room to get better, but he’s a speedster and a scoring machine. He hasn’t done anything so far but apparently this Abdul Gaddy guy is the nation’s second-best point guard prospect. I’m assuming everybody wasn’t wrong so I’d be amazed if he doesn’t emerge this season. Then again, the team may not play him much because they need Venoy Overton on the court, their best defender.
California – A guarantee for the NCAA Tournament. The team got Pac-10 championship hype because they had the most complete returning team. Then again, they’ve added nothing new to the mix this year. Still, Jerome Randle, last year’s conference assist leader, was as good as anyone in the conference in 2008-09 and will challenge Klay Thompson and Pondexter for player of the year. Patrick Christopher is also a solid NBA prospect. Like the Huskies, they have no big man so if defenses can slow the three-pointer, this team will fall.
WSU - Out of principle, I refuse to predict the Cougs higher because I don’t want to jinx them. They may be too inexperienced and may not be quite the 2007-08 team, but the Cougs are the most balanced team in the conference. Klay Thompson is the best player in the Pac-10. Reggie Moore is possibly the best freshman in the Pac-10, a speedster who fits perfectly with Ken Bones new-look Cougar offense. DeAngelo Casto could dominate in a conference devoid of big men. Marcus Capers is gunning for the all-Conference defensive team and the team has plenty of depth behind him. This team might fall a few places because of inconsistency but the potential is sky high.
Arizona State – For some reason, defenses are always far harder to analyze than offenses. And last year’s team was awesome defensively and is currently the best in the Pac. They don’t have much for scorers but Derek Glasser is an All Pac-10 player who will surprise people with his scoring, and especially dishing, ability.
Oregon State – This team had a lot of hype because of its solid improvement under new coach Craig Robinson last year. The team’s solid defense from last year though hasn’t show up so far, leaving this team as a bit of an enigma. Still they have a quality group of scorers with Seth Tarver and Calvin Haynes so this team has potential to go significantly up or down.
Oregon – This team will get a boost just because they may be the only team in the conference with two real big men. Joevan Catron is not really a star but seems to get rebounds galore. Michael Dunigan was as hyped as any freshman entering last season and hasn’t lived up to the expectations, but is still a decent threat down low. Tajuan Porter is streaky but always a scoring threat.
USC – Despite losing coach Tim Floyd and practically all their recruits in the process, this team is better than it looks. They have a surprisingly good big man in Nikola Vucevic, a good proven scorer in Dwight Lewis and a solid transfer in Alec Stephenson. The fact that this team isn’t dead last following its awful offseason is amazing.
Arizona – Nic Wise was at times one of the best scorers in the conference last year. But who else is on this team? The Wildcats’ 26 consecutive March Madness appearances is in serious jeopardy.
Stanford – Landry Fields is a beast and constant double double threat, but he’s really all they got. He’s seemingly been putting up crazy numbers even though he’s not nearly as good as Klay or Quincy. There has been little to fear at this school since the Lopez twins left.
UCLA – This team stinks, and it makes me happy. The Bruins have been good for way too long so it’s awesome to see them down. Apparently their Malcolm Lee kid is a future lottery pick but I haven’t seen anything and everyone else is overrated.
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